The Coming Bayesian Society
We’re seeing an epistemic shift to a Bayesian society, where uncertainty is normalised, and adaptive reasoning is prized.
In 24 months, “non-AI-enabled” decision-making will look reckless, not virtuous. Organisations that can integrate AI reasoning in their workflow and decision making will simply outpace those that cannot. And systems with verifiable reasoning will dominate and black-box models will be viewed as a source of risk not innovation.
As Marshall Berman wrote in All That Is Solid Melts into Air, modernity dissolves every stable ground beneath our feet. Artificial intelligence extends this modernist condition into cognition itself and expands our capacity to perceive, decide, and create in new epistemic dimensions.
The good news is that while AI is epistemically limited and formally trapped by Godel’s incompleteness, humans can think in contradictions and paradoxes.