The pure technical scoring of predictive power as a measure of the accuracy of a prediction (using ROC/AUC, Receiver Operating Characteristic / Area Under the… Read More »Prediction machines and the end of population health: the dawn of personalised healthcare
Predictive modelling supports policy at two levels. The first is the role of predictive modelling to help determine priorities for health policy, such as risk… Read More »Using prediction machines in policy
Artificial intelligence has not merely accelerated computation or a type automation. It is a new way of thinking and how knowledge, uncertainty, and decision-making are… Read More »Embracing Uncertainty: The Bayesian Paradigm as the New Rationality
The Coming Bayesian Society We’re seeing an epistemic shift to a Bayesian society, where uncertainty is normalised, and adaptive reasoning is prized. In 24 months,… Read More »The next 24 months of AI: tick tock