Research demonstrator only. All patients and event probabilities are synthetic. Coefficients are not clinically validated and outputs must not be used for diagnosis or treatment decisions.
ALSFRS-R total
—
SVC % predicted
—
Estimated respiratory burden
—
Support state
—
Respiratory event risk
—
within 30 days
Respiratory event risk
—
within 60 days
Respiratory event risk
—
within 90 days
Respiratory trajectory and model estimate
Solid line: model estimate. Dashed line: known hidden truth (available only because this is synthetic).
Posterior estimateHidden truthRespiratory event
Current interpretation
Phenotype
Patient drift
Nocturnal SpO₂ P10
Daily steps
Known event
Latent respiratory trajectory with uncertainty
Posterior mean ± approximately 95% posterior interval, compared with hidden synthetic truth. The vertical cursor is the selected analysis date.
ALSFRS-R trajectory
SVC trajectory
Infinity physiological monitoring
Daily summaries generated from the hourly synthetic watch stream. Values to the right of the analysis date are shown as future ground truth only when the cursor advances.
Heart rate
—
daily median bpm
SpO₂
—
daily median / nocturnal P10
Temperature
—
daily median °C
BP trend
—
synthetic systolic trend
Daily Infinity data around selected date
Date
HR
SpO₂
Noct. P10
≤92% frac.
Temp
BP trend
Steps
NIV
Clinical assessment record
Complete synthetic clinical record. Rows after the selected analysis date are muted as future information.
Date
Day
ALSFRS-R
Respiratory
SVC %
NIV
Powered chair
Speech support
Prediction audit at selected date
Posterior mean
Posterior SD
Patient drift/day
True respiratory state
Absolute state error
ALSFRS-R total
Respiratory subscore
SVC
NIV state
Why the risk changed
This is an explanatory decomposition of the transparent synthetic model, not a validated causal attribution.