Acute Coronary Instability Predictor (ACIP)

Interactive 24–48 hour clinical risk simulator using a shared global pattern model plus personalised N-of-1 adaptation.

Demonstration only. This simulator uses synthetic coefficients and illustrative thresholds. It is not a validated medical device and must not be used for diagnosis or patient care.

Patient and current state

ACIP uses the same adaptive learning platform and infrastructure which enables existing predictors such as Falls, Sepsis and COPD, centred on Medibiosense wearable monitors.
ACIP uses the platform's existing medication module.

Background risk

Illustrative 1–9 scale

Physiology: current versus personal baseline

Personal baseline: 68 bpm
Personal baseline: 38 ms
Personal baseline: 92 mmHg
Personal baseline: 15/min
Personal baseline: 97%
100% = usual personal activity

Personal baseline settings

Rhythm and medication/context flags

Predicted short-horizon instability

0–24 hour risk
24–48 hour risk
Current tier
Change from last cycle
Illustrative trajectory signal

Why the score changed

Largest model drivers

Global + N-of-1 mathematics

Personal deviation:
zi,x(t) = [xi(t) − μi,x] / σi,x

Global model:
logit(pglobal) = β0 + Σ βkfk(t)

Personalised output:
logit(pi) = αi + γ · logit(pglobal)

The global component represents patterns learned across a cohort. The N-of-1 layer interprets current physiology relative to this patient's own baseline and recalibrates the shared estimate.

Simulated six-cycle risk trajectory

Clinical interpretation

Demonstrator response: