Predicted short-horizon instability
0–24 hour risk
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24–48 hour risk
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Current tier
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Change from last cycle
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Illustrative trajectory signal
Why the score changed
Largest model drivers
Global + N-of-1 mathematics
Personal deviation:
zi,x(t) = [xi(t) − μi,x] / σi,x
Global model:
logit(pglobal) = β0 + Σ βkfk(t)
Personalised output:
logit(pi) = αi + γ · logit(pglobal)
zi,x(t) = [xi(t) − μi,x] / σi,x
Global model:
logit(pglobal) = β0 + Σ βkfk(t)
Personalised output:
logit(pi) = αi + γ · logit(pglobal)
The global component represents patterns learned across a cohort. The N-of-1 layer interprets current physiology relative to this patient's own baseline and recalibrates the shared estimate.
Simulated six-cycle risk trajectory
Clinical interpretation
Demonstrator response: